CHE Premier League

Chelsea FPL Predictions & Players

How the FPLXI model reads Chelsea: the eleven it expects to start, the players it rates most and the fixture run ahead. Next up: at home to Brighton in Gameweek 2.

Last updated Sun 23 Aug, 12:45

Next fixture

Brighton (H), Sun 14:00

Gameweek 2, Favourable on the model's read

Squad predicted

38 players

Projected points for every Chelsea player over the next 5 gameweeks

Most likely formation

5-4-1

Ranked by the minutes the model expects each player to get.

Top rated

Morgan Rogers

22.9 projected points over 5 gameweeks

Chelsea predicted lineup

The eleven the model expects to start in Gameweek 2, in a 5-4-1. Ranked by the minutes the model expects each player to get. This is the model's read, not a team sheet: it moves with injury news and rotation right up to the deadline.

GK Sánchez 1.4

DEF James 2.3

DEF Lacroix 2.0

DEF Palestra 1.1

DEF Colwill 1.0

DEF Gusto 1.1

MID Rogers 4.5

MID Enzo 2.4

MID Palmer 2.0

MID Caicedo 1.3

FWD João Pedro 4.2

Top 3 Chelsea players

Ranked by projected points over the next 5 gameweeks. Scores are 0 to 100 against players in the same position across the league.

1 CHE MID

Rogers 22.9

£7.5m projected over 5 GWs

Form 79/100 · Minutes 91/100 · Value 98/100

2 CHE FWD

João Pedro 20.2

£7.5m projected over 5 GWs

Form 73/100 · Minutes 75/100 · Value 88/100

3 CHE MID

Enzo 11.8

£7.0m projected over 5 GWs

Form 92/100 · Minutes 97/100 · Value 82/100

Chelsea upcoming fixtures

The next 5 gameweeks, coloured by the model's outlook rather than raw difficulty ratings. Green is easier, red is harder.

GW2 Favourable

BHA Brighton

Home · Sun 14:00

GW3 Very tough

ARS Arsenal

Away · Sun 16:30

GW4 Favourable

HUL Hull City

Home · Sat 15:00

GW5 Neutral

BRE Brentford

Away · Fri 20:00

GW6 Neutral

BOU Bournemouth

Home · Sat 15:00

Every Chelsea player, ranked by the model

Price, position and projected points for the whole squad. Open a player for the model's full read on them.

Club Name Price Form Mins Value Next 5 fixtures GW xPts 5GW xPts Rank

CHE

Morgan Rogers £7.5m 79 91 98 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 4.5 22.9 #5 CHE

João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus £7.5m 73 75 88 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 4.2 20.2 #6 CHE

Enzo Fernández £7.0m 92 97 82 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 2.4 11.8 #28 CHE

Reece James £5.5m 57 51 84 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 2.3 10.2 #29 CHE

Cole Palmer £9.5m 78 90 72 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 2.0 10.2 #39 CHE

Maxence Lacroix £6.0m 63 84 78 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 2.0 8.9 #34 CHE

Robert Lynch Sánchez £5.0m 47 83 75 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 1.4 7.2 #17 CHE

Moisés Caicedo Corozo £5.5m 64 96 75 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 1.3 6.9 #71 CHE

Marco Palestra £5.5m 68 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 1.1 5.3 #59 CHE

Malo Gusto £5.0m 43 83 68 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 1.1 4.6 #61 CHE

Levi Samuels Colwill £5.0m 61 63 67 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 1.0 4.5 #62 CHE

Pedro Lomba Neto £6.5m 86 81 57 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.7 3.1 #109 CHE

Estêvão Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves £6.5m 60 52 57 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.7 3.0 #110 CHE

Jorrel Hato £4.5m 56 82 53 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.4 2.1 #98 CHE

Josh Acheampong £4.5m 32 55 50 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.4 2.0 #101 CHE

Nicolas Jackson £6.5m 23 21 49 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.4 2.0 #36 CHE

Pep Chavarría £5.0m 45 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.4 1.8 #104 CHE

Axel Disasi £4.5m 47 91 44 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.3 1.5 #112 CHE

Roméo Lavia £5.0m 60 66 46 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.2 1.1 #151 CHE Shumaira Mheuka £4.5m 23 44 43 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.2 1.0 #45 CHE

Liam Delap £5.5m 52 77 33 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.9 #47 CHE

Mamadou Sarr £4.5m 16 48 39 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.2 0.8 #123 CHE

Marc Guiu Paz £5.0m 72 48 30 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.7 #51 CHE

Valentín Barco £5.5m 36 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.7 #163 CHE

Mykhailo Mudryk £5.5m 26 25 36 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.2 0.7 #164 CHE

Emmanuel Emegha £5.0m 28 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.6 #52 CHE

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens £6.0m 26 25 32 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.2 0.6 #172 CHE

Geovany Quenda £5.5m 31 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.5 #181 CHE

Jordan Henderson £5.0m 67 61 29 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.4 #186 CHE

Dário Luís Essugo £4.5m 58 54 30 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.4 #187 CHE

Tosin Adarabioyo £4.5m 35 50 34 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.3 #131 CHE

Benoît Badiashile Mukinayi £4.5m 51 22 34 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.3 #132 CHE

Aaron Anselmino £4.5m 51 22 30 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.0 0.2 #135 CHE

Danny Welbeck £6.0m 55 84 23 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.1 0.2 #56 CHE

Trevoh Chalobah £5.5m 38 64 9 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.0 0.0 #169 CHE

Wesley Fofana £5.0m 58 77 9 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.0 0.0 #170 CHE

Filip Jörgensen £5.0m 52 76 15 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.0 0.0 #49 CHE

Mike Penders £4.5m 50 35 15 BHA ARS HUL BRE BOU 0.0 0.0 #50

What the FPLXI model considers

Position-specific models trained on five seasons of Premier League data, backtested on a season they never saw. Every figure on this page is model output, written by batch inference before the deadline and never rewritten afterwards.

Underlying performance: goal threat, chance creation, defensive contribution and save volume, measured per 90 against positional peers.
Expected minutes: the single biggest driver of points, read from recent starts, rotation and injury news.
Opponent and venue: attacking and defensive strength of the opposition, home or away, for every fixture in the gameweek.
Market signals: price, ownership and transfer flow, used as evidence rather than as an instruction.

The model predicts, a deterministic optimiser decides, and language models only explain the decision afterwards. See the published accuracy record

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Predictions for other clubs

Arsenal Aston Villa Bournemouth Brentford Brighton Coventry City Crystal Palace Everton Fulham Hull City Ipswich Town Leeds Liverpool Man City Man Utd Newcastle Nott'm Forest Spurs Sunderland

FPLXI is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, the Premier League or the official Fantasy Premier League game. Every score, rank and projection on this page is FPLXI model output.