CHE Premier League

Chelsea FPL Predictions & Players

How the FPLXI model reads Chelsea: the eleven it expects to start, the players it rates most and the fixture run ahead. Next up: away at Brentford in Gameweek 5.

Last updated Mon 14 Sep, 20:45

Next fixture

Brentford (A), Fri 20:00

Gameweek 5, Neutral on the model's read

Squad predicted

33 players

Projected points for every Chelsea player over the next 5 gameweeks

Most likely formation

5-4-1

Ranked by the minutes the model expects each player to get.

Top rated

Emiliano Martínez Romero

28.5 projected points over 5 gameweeks

Chelsea predicted lineup

The eleven the model expects to start in Gameweek 5, in a 5-4-1. Ranked by the minutes the model expects each player to get. This is the model's read, not a team sheet: it moves with injury news and rotation right up to the deadline.

GK Martinez 5.4

DEF Gusto 1.9

DEF Hato 1.1

DEF James 2.5

DEF Fofana 0.9

DEF Lacroix 3.6

MID Rogers 4.5

MID Palmer 4.7

MID Neto 2.9

MID Lavia 2.1

FWD João Pedro 4.0

Top 3 Chelsea players

Ranked by projected points over the next 5 gameweeks. Scores are 0 to 100 against players in the same position across the league.

1 CHE GK

Martinez 28.5

£5.0m projected over 5 GWs

Form 56/100 · Minutes 73/100 · Value 96/100

2 CHE MID

Rogers 25.6

£7.7m projected over 5 GWs

Form 93/100 · Minutes 93/100 · Value 98/100

3 CHE MID

Palmer 25.5

£9.7m projected over 5 GWs

Form 87/100 · Minutes 95/100 · Value 94/100

Chelsea upcoming fixtures

The next 5 gameweeks, coloured by the model's outlook rather than raw difficulty ratings. Green is easier, red is harder.

GW5 Neutral

BRE Brentford

Away · Fri 20:00

GW6 Neutral

BOU Bournemouth

Home · Sat 15:00

GW7 Neutral

EVE Everton

Away · Sat 12:30

GW8 Neutral

TOT Spurs

Home · Sat 17:30

GW9 Tough

MUN Man Utd

Home · Sat 12:30

Every Chelsea player, ranked by the model

Price, position and projected points for the whole squad. Open a player for the model's full read on them.

Club Name Price Form Mins Value Next 5 fixtures GW xPts 5GW xPts Rank

CHE

Emiliano Martínez Romero £5.0m 56 73 96 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 5.4 28.5 #2 CHE

Morgan Rogers £7.7m 93 93 98 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 4.5 25.6 #4 CHE

Cole Palmer £9.7m 87 95 94 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 4.7 25.5 #5 CHE

João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus £7.8m 81 99 81 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 4.0 21.6 #11 CHE

Maxence Lacroix £6.0m 58 74 93 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 3.6 18.3 #5 CHE

Pedro Lomba Neto £6.5m 84 76 86 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 2.9 14.7 #28 CHE

Reece James £5.4m 38 75 88 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 2.5 13.0 #21 CHE

Roméo Lavia £5.0m 70 78 86 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 2.1 11.3 #53 CHE

Malo Gusto £5.0m 48 73 86 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 1.9 11.0 #34 CHE

Levi Samuels Colwill £4.9m 52 67 76 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 1.4 8.1 #50 CHE

Josh Acheampong £4.5m 53 64 75 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 1.4 7.4 #56 CHE

Jorrel Hato £4.5m 45 69 74 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 1.1 7.3 #59 CHE

Wesley Fofana £5.0m 62 65 64 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.9 6.4 #69 CHE

Danny Welbeck £5.9m 45 44 63 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 1.0 5.6 #28 CHE

Pep Chavarría £4.9m 50 51 55 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.7 4.2 #93 CHE

Valentín Barco £5.5m 53 47 50 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.8 3.2 #141 CHE

Estêvão Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves £6.3m 71 44 45 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.5 2.6 #155 CHE

Geovany Quenda £5.3m 35 39 38 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.2 1.0 #183 CHE Shumaira Mheuka £4.5m 25 18 44 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.2 0.9 #46 CHE

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens £5.9m 21 18 31 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.1 0.4 #198 CHE

Aaron Anselmino £4.5m 51 17 32 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.1 0.3 #147 CHE

Trevoh Chalobah £5.5m 51 17 13 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #167 CHE

Mamadou Sarr £4.5m 51 17 13 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #168 CHE

Marco Palestra £5.3m 51 17 13 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #169 CHE

Benoît Badiashile Mukinayi £4.5m 51 17 13 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #200 CHE

Marc Guiu Paz £5.0m 25 18 19 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #54 CHE

Emmanuel Emegha £5.0m 25 18 19 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #55 CHE

Robert Lynch Sánchez £4.9m 60 70 21 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #44 CHE

Filip Jörgensen £5.0m 50 34 21 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #45 CHE

Mike Penders £4.4m 50 34 21 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #46 CHE

Jordan Henderson £4.9m 21 18 13 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #227 CHE

Moisés Caicedo Corozo £5.4m 32 41 13 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #228 CHE

Dário Luís Essugo £4.5m 21 18 13 BRE BOU EVE TOT MUN 0.0 0.0 #229

What the FPLXI model considers

Position-specific models trained on five seasons of Premier League data, backtested on a season they never saw. Every figure on this page is model output, written by batch inference before the deadline and never rewritten afterwards.

Underlying performance: goal threat, chance creation, defensive contribution and save volume, measured per 90 against positional peers.
Expected minutes: the single biggest driver of points, read from recent starts, rotation and injury news.
Opponent and venue: attacking and defensive strength of the opposition, home or away, for every fixture in the gameweek.
Market signals: price, ownership and transfer flow, used as evidence rather than as an instruction.

The model predicts, a deterministic optimiser decides, and language models only explain the decision afterwards. See the published accuracy record

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Predictions for other clubs

Arsenal Aston Villa Bournemouth Brentford Brighton Coventry City Crystal Palace Everton Fulham Hull City Ipswich Town Leeds Liverpool Man City Man Utd Newcastle Nott'm Forest Spurs Sunderland

FPLXI is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, the Premier League or the official Fantasy Premier League game. Every score, rank and projection on this page is FPLXI model output.