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CHE Premier League

Chelsea FPL Predictions & Players

How the FPLXI model reads Chelsea: the eleven it expects to start, the players it rates most and the fixture run ahead. Next up: at home to Bournemouth in Gameweek 6.

Last updated Wed 7 Oct, 07:00
Next fixture
Bournemouth (H), Sat 15:00

Gameweek 6, Neutral on the model's read

Squad predicted
34 players

Projected points for every Chelsea player over the next 5 gameweeks

Most likely formation
4-4-2

Ranked by the minutes the model expects each player to get.

Top rated
Morgan Rogers

27.6 projected points over 5 gameweeks

Chelsea predicted lineup

The eleven the model expects to start in Gameweek 6, in a 4-4-2. Ranked by the minutes the model expects each player to get. This is the model's read, not a team sheet: it moves with injury news and rotation right up to the deadline.

GK Martinez 4.5
DEF Lacroix 3.1
DEF Fofana 2.8
DEF Colwill 1.8
DEF Chavarria 1.5
MID Rogers 5.5
MID Neto 3.7
MID Palmer 4.6
MID Henderson 1.8
FWD João Pedro 4.0
FWD Welbeck 4.0

Top 3 Chelsea players

Ranked by projected points over the next 5 gameweeks. Scores are 0 to 100 against players in the same position across the league.

1 CHE MID
Rogers 27.6
£7.8m projected over 5 GWs

Form 87/100 · Minutes 93/100 · Value 98/100
2 CHE MID
Palmer 21.9
£9.7m projected over 5 GWs

Form 84/100 · Minutes 94/100 · Value 82/100
3 CHE FWD
Welbeck 19.6
£5.9m projected over 5 GWs

Form 38/100 · Minutes 64/100 · Value 89/100

Chelsea upcoming fixtures

The next 5 gameweeks, coloured by the model's outlook rather than raw difficulty ratings. Green is easier, red is harder.

GW6 Neutral
BOU Bournemouth
Home · Sat 15:00
GW7 Neutral
EVE Everton
Away · Sat 12:30
GW8 Favourable
TOT Spurs
Home · Sat 17:30
GW9 Tough
MUN Man Utd
Home · Sat 12:30
GW10 Neutral
SUN Sunderland
Away · Sun 14:00

Every Chelsea player, ranked by the model

Price, position and projected points for the whole squad. Open a player for the model's full read on them.

Club Name Price Form Mins Value Next 5 fixtures GW xPts 5GW xPts Rank
CHE Morgan Rogers £7.8m 87 93 98 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 5.5 27.6 #4 CHE Cole Palmer £9.7m 84 94 82 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 4.6 21.9 #11 CHE Danny Welbeck £5.9m 38 64 89 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 4.0 19.6 #10 CHE Emiliano Martínez Romero £5.0m 52 75 94 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 4.5 19.3 #4 CHE Pedro Lomba Neto £6.5m 79 80 93 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 3.7 18.6 #16 CHE João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus £7.7m 81 85 78 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 4.0 17.2 #15 CHE Maxence Lacroix £5.9m 52 78 89 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 3.1 14.7 #11 CHE Wesley Fofana £5.0m 64 69 91 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 2.8 13.3 #18 CHE Roméo Lavia £5.0m 64 72 78 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 2.2 10.5 #79 CHE Jordan Henderson £4.9m 51 57 74 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 1.8 9.4 #90 CHE Levi Samuels Colwill £4.8m 44 72 74 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 1.8 7.8 #57 CHE Pep Chavarría £4.9m 44 58 72 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 1.5 6.9 #61 CHE Malo Gusto £4.9m 50 64 71 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 1.5 6.8 #62 CHE Josh Acheampong £4.5m 43 59 69 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 1.3 5.9 #74 CHE Valentín Barco £5.4m 50 59 58 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 1.2 5.8 #122 CHE Estêvão Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves £6.3m 66 42 53 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 1.0 4.9 #133 CHE Mahdi Nicoll-Jazuli £4.5m 58 40 55 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.8 4.1 #142 CHE Geovany Quenda £5.3m 51 43 52 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.8 4.1 #144 CHE Jorrel Hato £4.5m 44 62 54 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.7 3.4 #101 CHE Reece James £5.3m 37 66 48 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.6 2.5 #111 CHE Shumaira Mheuka £4.5m 24 18 42 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.1 0.8 #47 CHE Jamie Bynoe-Gittens £5.8m 19 17 35 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.1 0.8 #189 CHE Moisés Caicedo Corozo £5.3m 27 39 34 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.1 0.7 #191 CHE Marco Palestra £5.3m 50 16 34 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.1 0.5 #142 CHE Aaron Anselmino £4.5m 50 16 29 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.1 0.2 #151 CHE Mike Penders £4.4m 50 34 50 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.1 #33 CHE Trevoh Chalobah £5.5m 50 16 13 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.0 #166 CHE Benoît Badiashile Mukinayi £4.5m 50 16 13 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.0 #167 CHE Mamadou Sarr £4.5m 50 16 13 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.0 #168 CHE Marc Guiu Paz £5.0m 24 18 19 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.0 #52 CHE Emmanuel Emegha £4.9m 24 18 19 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.0 #53 CHE Robert Lynch Sánchez £4.9m 61 69 22 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.0 #44 CHE Filip Jörgensen £5.0m 50 34 22 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.0 #45 CHE Dário Luís Essugo £4.5m 19 17 13 BOU EVE TOT MUN SUN 0.0 0.0 #296

What the FPLXI model considers

Position-specific models trained on five seasons of Premier League data, backtested on a season they never saw. Every figure on this page is model output, written by batch inference before the deadline and never rewritten afterwards.

  • Underlying performance: goal threat, chance creation, defensive contribution and save volume, measured per 90 against positional peers.
  • Expected minutes: the single biggest driver of points, read from recent starts, rotation and injury news.
  • Opponent and venue: attacking and defensive strength of the opposition, home or away, for every fixture in the gameweek.
  • Market signals: price, ownership and transfer flow, used as evidence rather than as an instruction.

The model predicts, a deterministic optimiser decides, and language models only explain the decision afterwards. See the published accuracy record

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This page is what the model thinks about Chelsea. Analyse your own team and it will tell you whether to keep them, who to bring in instead, and what the move is projected to gain you.

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Predictions for other clubs

Arsenal Aston Villa Bournemouth Brentford Brighton Coventry City Crystal Palace Everton Fulham Hull City Ipswich Town Leeds Liverpool Man City Man Utd Newcastle Nott'm Forest Spurs Sunderland

FPLXI is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, the Premier League or the official Fantasy Premier League game. Every score, rank and projection on this page is FPLXI model output.