AVL Premier League

Aston Villa FPL Predictions & Players

How the FPLXI model reads Aston Villa: the eleven it expects to start, the players it rates most and the fixture run ahead. Next up: at home to Arsenal in Gameweek 2.

Last updated Sun 23 Aug, 12:45

Next fixture

Arsenal (H), Mon 20:00

Gameweek 2, Tough on the model's read

Squad predicted

29 players

Projected points for every Aston Villa player over the next 5 gameweeks

Most likely formation

5-4-1

Ranked by the minutes the model expects each player to get.

Top rated

Matty Cash

11.7 projected points over 5 gameweeks

Aston Villa predicted lineup

The eleven the model expects to start in Gameweek 2, in a 5-4-1. Ranked by the minutes the model expects each player to get. This is the model's read, not a team sheet: it moves with injury news and rotation right up to the deadline.

GK Martinez 0.7

DEF Cash 1.9

DEF Lindelöf 0.7

DEF Mings 0.4

DEF Pau 0.5

DEF Ruggeri 0.3

MID McGinn 0.9

MID Buendía 0.7

MID Kamara 0.6

MID Barkley 0.6

FWD Watkins 1.4

Top 3 Aston Villa players

Ranked by projected points over the next 5 gameweeks. Scores are 0 to 100 against players in the same position across the league.

1 AVL DEF

Cash 11.7

£4.5m projected over 5 GWs

Form 47/100 · Minutes 88/100 · Value 91/100

2 AVL FWD

Watkins 7.7

£8.0m projected over 5 GWs

Form 94/100 · Minutes 91/100 · Value 66/100

3 AVL MID

McGinn 5.0

£5.5m projected over 5 GWs

Form 96/100 · Minutes 81/100 · Value 69/100

Aston Villa upcoming fixtures

The next 5 gameweeks, coloured by the model's outlook rather than raw difficulty ratings. Green is easier, red is harder.

GW2 Tough

ARS Arsenal

Home · Mon 20:00

GW3 Favourable

HUL Hull City

Away · Sat 17:30

GW4 Neutral

NFO Nott'm Forest

Home · Sat 15:00

GW5 Neutral

TOT Spurs

Away · Sat 12:30

GW6 Neutral

BRE Brentford

Home · Sat 15:00

Every Aston Villa player, ranked by the model

Price, position and projected points for the whole squad. Open a player for the model's full read on them.

Club Name Price Form Mins Value Next 5 fixtures GW xPts 5GW xPts Rank

AVL

Matty Cash £4.5m 47 88 91 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 1.9 11.7 #22 AVL

Ollie Watkins £8.0m 94 91 66 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 1.4 7.7 #22 AVL

John McGinn £5.5m 96 81 69 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.9 5.0 #82 AVL

Emiliano Buendía Stati £6.0m 78 79 64 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.7 4.4 #90 AVL

Victor Lindelöf £4.5m 48 70 65 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.7 3.8 #71 AVL

Emiliano Martínez Romero £5.0m 54 85 71 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.7 3.5 #20 AVL

Boubacar Kamara £5.0m 26 25 64 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.6 3.5 #104 AVL

Ross Barkley £5.0m 70 86 61 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.6 3.2 #107 AVL

Alejandro Garnacho Ferreyra £6.0m 85 65 55 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.5 2.6 #116 AVL

Tyrone Mings £4.5m 48 78 58 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.4 2.5 #86 AVL

Leon Bailey £5.5m 87 64 56 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.5 2.5 #117 AVL

Pau Torres £4.5m 49 59 56 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.5 2.3 #93 AVL

Lamare Bogarde £5.0m 55 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.4 2.2 #122 AVL

Matteo Ruggeri £4.5m 50 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.3 2.0 #99 AVL

Ian Maatsen £4.5m 57 75 47 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.2 1.7 #107 AVL

Zion Suzuki £5.0m 66 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.2 1.4 #23 AVL

Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha dos Santos £5.0m 26 25 46 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.2 1.1 #150 AVL

Tammy Abraham £5.5m 95 56 37 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.2 1.0 #44 AVL

Bradley Burrowes £4.5m 26 25 39 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.1 0.7 #162 AVL Andrés García £4.0m 51 50 38 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.2 0.6 #124 AVL

George Hemmings £4.5m 26 25 37 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.1 0.6 #171 AVL

Marco Bizot £4.5m 49 73 38 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.0 0.1 #40 AVL

Lucas Digne £4.5m 35 61 9 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.0 0.0 #165 AVL

Kosta Nedeljkovic £4.0m 9 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.0 0.0 #199 AVL

Brian Madjo £5.5m 11 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.0 0.0 #58 AVL

Samuel Iling-Junior £5.0m 26 25 10 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.0 0.0 #219 AVL

Johan Manzambi £6.0m 10 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.0 0.0 #220 AVL

Joao Gomes £5.5m 60 90 10 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.0 0.0 #221 AVL

Amadou Onana £5.0m 71 62 10 ARS HUL NFO TOT BRE 0.0 0.0 #227

What the FPLXI model considers

Position-specific models trained on five seasons of Premier League data, backtested on a season they never saw. Every figure on this page is model output, written by batch inference before the deadline and never rewritten afterwards.

Underlying performance: goal threat, chance creation, defensive contribution and save volume, measured per 90 against positional peers.
Expected minutes: the single biggest driver of points, read from recent starts, rotation and injury news.
Opponent and venue: attacking and defensive strength of the opposition, home or away, for every fixture in the gameweek.
Market signals: price, ownership and transfer flow, used as evidence rather than as an instruction.

The model predicts, a deterministic optimiser decides, and language models only explain the decision afterwards. See the published accuracy record

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Predictions for other clubs

Arsenal Bournemouth Brentford Brighton Chelsea Coventry City Crystal Palace Everton Fulham Hull City Ipswich Town Leeds Liverpool Man City Man Utd Newcastle Nott'm Forest Spurs Sunderland

FPLXI is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, the Premier League or the official Fantasy Premier League game. Every score, rank and projection on this page is FPLXI model output.