FPLXI model accuracy and backtest
2026-27 · every number on this page is measured, not claimed
Every prediction is recorded before the gameweek deadline and never retrospectively modified. Once results are in, we score ourselves against them publicly, on this page.
This season
Live accuracy, scored gameweek by gameweek as results come in.
Average error
±1.22
pts
Ranking accuracy
68
/100
Gameweeks scored
3
| Gameweek | Predictions | Avg error | Ranking |
|---|---|---|---|
| GW1 | 599 | ±1.42 pts | 62/100 |
| GW2 | 616 | ±1.15 pts | 68/100 |
| GW3 | 652 | ±1.1 pts | 74/100 |
Backtest: the 2025-26 season
Before going live, the model was trained on several seasons of historical data and scored against a complete season it had never seen. These are those results.
Goalkeepers
±0.64
pts
Ranking accuracy
66/100
Defenders
±1.08
pts
Ranking accuracy
66/100
Midfielders
±0.93
pts
Ranking accuracy
75/100
Forwards
±1.14
pts
Ranking accuracy
76/100
FPLXI is an independent tool and is not affiliated with or endorsed by the Premier League or the official Fantasy Premier League game.