FPL Gameweek 5 Predictions
What the FPLXI model projected for Gameweek 5, and what those players actually scored. Projections cover 659 players across 10 fixtures. Erling Haaland leads the captaincy on 13.9 projected points with the armband.
Last updated Fri 18 Sep, 07:00The model's best XI
The legal eleven with the highest projected points in Gameweek 5, budget aside. Formation 3-4-3.
Top 5 predicted players
Highest projected points of any player in the gameweek.
| Player | Fixture | Price | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 MCI Erling Haaland FWD · SUN (H) · £15.6m | SUN (H) | £15.6m | 7.0 | 6 | FWD |
| 2 MUN Bruno Borges Fernandes MID · FUL (A) · £11.9m | FUL (A) | £11.9m | 6.8 | 2 | MID |
| 3 LIV Dominik Szoboszlai MID · BOU (A) · £6.9m | BOU (A) | £6.9m | 6.8 | 2 | MID |
| 4 BOU Đorđe Petrović GK · LIV (H) · £4.5m | LIV (H) | £4.5m | 6.5 | 2 | GK |
| 5 LEE Dominic Calvert-Lewin FWD · CRY (H) · £6.0m | CRY (H) | £6.0m | 6.0 | 2 | FWD |
Captain picks
The armband doubles a player's score, so the model simply doubles its projection.
Gameweek 5 in numbers
Gameweek 5 fixtures
Kick-off times in UK time. Open a club for its most likely XI and squad predictions.
What the FPLXI model considers
Position-specific models trained on five seasons of Premier League data, backtested on a season they never saw. Every figure on this page is model output, written by batch inference before the deadline and never rewritten afterwards.
- Underlying performance: goal threat, chance creation, defensive contribution and save volume, measured per 90 against positional peers.
- Expected minutes: the single biggest driver of points, read from recent starts, rotation and injury news.
- Opponent and venue: attacking and defensive strength of the opposition, home or away, for every fixture in the gameweek.
- Market signals: price, ownership and transfer flow, used as evidence rather than as an instruction.
The model predicts, a deterministic optimiser decides, and language models only explain the decision afterwards. See the published accuracy record
Would this XI beat yours in Gameweek 5?
This page shows what the model thinks about the gameweek. Analyse your own squad and it will tell you what to do about it: the transfer worth making, who to captain from the players you own, and the bench order that gains you the most.
Free, no card needed. Or upload a squad screenshot from the home page.
Predictions by club
FPLXI is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, the Premier League or the official Fantasy Premier League game. Every score, rank and projection on this page is FPLXI model output.