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FPL Gameweek 11 Predictions

The FPLXI model's read on Gameweek 11: the best XI it can build, the captain picks with the highest projected returns and the players it rates most. Projections cover 667 players across 10 fixtures. Bukayo Saka leads the captaincy on 13.5 projected points with the armband.

Last updated Sun 11 Oct, 22:45

The model's best XI

The legal eleven with the highest projected points in Gameweek 11, budget aside. Formation 3-5-2.

Projected
60.7
GK Martinez 6.6
DEF Van Hecke 4.9
DEF Truffert 3.9
DEF Gabriel 3.9
MID C Saka 6.7
MID Rogers 5.8
MID Mbeumo 5.7
MID Palmer 5.5

Top 5 predicted players

Highest projected points of any player in the gameweek.

The players FPLXI projects highest for Gameweek 11
Player xPts
1 ARS Bukayo Saka MID · NEW (A) · £9.6m 6.7
2 CHE Emiliano Martínez Romero GK · LEE (H) · £5.0m 6.6
3 SUN Robin Roefs GK · AVL (A) · £4.9m 6.6
4 MCI Erling Haaland FWD · FUL (H) · £15.6m 6.5
5 MUN Bruno Borges Fernandes MID · LIV (A) · £11.9m 6.0

Captain picks

The armband doubles a player's score, so the model simply doubles its projection.

  1. 1 ARS MID
    Saka 13.5
    £9.6m projected with the armband

    NEW (A) · 6.7 projected before doubling

  2. 2 CHE GK
    Martinez 13.3
    £5.0m projected with the armband

    LEE (H) · 6.6 projected before doubling

  3. 3 MCI FWD
    Haaland 13.1
    £15.6m projected with the armband

    FUL (H) · 6.5 projected before doubling

Gameweek 11 in numbers

Top goalkeeper

6.6 projected points

Top defender

4.9 projected points

Top midfielder

6.7 projected points

Top forward

6.5 projected points

Best value

1.3 projected points per £1.0m

Best differential

6.6 projected points, owned by 4.7% of managers

Gameweek 11 fixtures

Kick-off times in UK time. Open a club for its most likely XI and squad predictions.

What the FPLXI model considers

Position-specific models trained on five seasons of Premier League data, backtested on a season they never saw. Every figure on this page is model output, written by batch inference before the deadline and never rewritten afterwards.

  • Underlying performance: goal threat, chance creation, defensive contribution and save volume, measured per 90 against positional peers.
  • Expected minutes: the single biggest driver of points, read from recent starts, rotation and injury news.
  • Opponent and venue: attacking and defensive strength of the opposition, home or away, for every fixture in the gameweek.
  • Market signals: price, ownership and transfer flow, used as evidence rather than as an instruction.

The model predicts, a deterministic optimiser decides, and language models only explain the decision afterwards. See the published accuracy record

Would this XI beat yours in Gameweek 11?

This page shows what the model thinks about the gameweek. Analyse your own squad and it will tell you what to do about it: the transfer worth making, who to captain from the players you own, and the bench order that gains you the most.

Free, no card needed. Or upload a squad screenshot from the home page.

Predictions by club

FPLXI is an independent tool and is not affiliated with, or endorsed by, the Premier League or the official Fantasy Premier League game. Every score, rank and projection on this page is FPLXI model output.